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Groundbreaking First Sight™ technology creates risk forecasts for the near future

Overlapping graphical displays of green, red and blue meant to evoke a changing future. First Sight is designed to provide risk estimates.

We’re excited to debut a groundbreaking risk intelligence technology on Factal called First Sight. Powered by an exclusive partnership with the AI startup Stave, First Sight forecasts the risk of disruption for several weeks into the future in the world’s largest metro areas.

For example, First Sight’s projections rose quickly in advance of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the surge of gang violence in Port au Prince and the outbreak of cartel violence in Guadalajara.

Leveraging the latest advancements in linguistic AI and machine learning, First Sight detects changes in collective tension on social media. As social tension rises, the probability of disruption increases. The risk forecasts range from 10 to 24 days into the future.

First Sight is a powerful new tool for corporate and NGO teams charged with global security, travel safety, executive protection and humanitarian aid. The daily projections help guide a team toward more proactive decisions to protect the health and safety of people on the ground. First Sight is now available side-by-side with Factal’s verified risk intelligence.

“The combination of Factal’s real-time coverage with First Sight’s forward-looking forecasts provides an unprecedented view of global risk,” said Charlie Tillinghast, CEO of Factal. “Our partnership with Stave builds on our unique capabilities to help companies build resiliency in our uncertain times.”

“Together we deliver a comprehensive view of instability in regions all over the world,” said Max Turnquist, CEO of Stave. “When it comes to risk, nothing this powerful has ever existed before, and we can’t wait to see how it can help protect global workers, travelers, students and volunteers.”

Similar to a weather forecast, First Sight creates risk forecasts of future disruption in a metro area, not predictions of the events themselves. The technology does not track individuals or analyze what people are saying, but it quantifies how the crowd is communicating on social media – the collective intensity of conversations. First Sight adheres to Factal’s comprehensive code of ethics, and it’s available for limited use cases.

If you’d like a demo, please contact our sales team at Attendees at the DRJ, GSX and AIRIP conferences can see First Sight in action at Factal’s booths. If you have any questions about the partnership, please contact Tyler Adams at

What is Factal?

Trusted by many of the world’s largest companies and nearly 300 humanitarian NGOs, Factal is a risk intelligence and collaboration platform that brings clarity to an increasingly noisy and uncertain world.

Powered by a hybrid of advanced AI and experienced journalists, Factal detects early signals, verifies critical details and assesses the potential impact at the speed of social media. From physical incidents and brand mentions to geopolitical developments, Factal offers the most trusted, real-time risk intelligence on the market.

Factal is also home to the largest security and safety collaboration network in the private sector. Members securely share information with other members in proximity to the same incident, both on and the Factal app.

Learn more at, and we’d love to hear from you.